tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8797460.post114412600034202609..comments2023-10-28T10:02:21.065-04:00Comments on ( ! ): deal expectationsakshayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14210753537405009773noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8797460.post-1144418282262363072006-04-07T09:58:00.000-04:002006-04-07T09:58:00.000-04:00I don't think the game is that simple. You're ana...I don't think the game is that simple. You're analyzing each step separately, basically making a decision about whether to accept the deal based on the expected value of your suitcase. You're not considering how the expected value will change if you proceed with the game and open more suitcases.<BR/><BR/>But I agree with the general sentiment - completely worthless show.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8797460.post-1144357851857584382006-04-06T17:10:00.000-04:002006-04-06T17:10:00.000-04:00Clearly a random number generator would never pick...Clearly a random number generator would never pick the first or last number.<BR/><BR/>It's like in HS when you have to make a guess on a multiple choice test, you always guess "c" because a,b, and d just don't seem random enough.akshayhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14210753537405009773noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8797460.post-1144354012579471732006-04-06T16:06:00.000-04:002006-04-06T16:06:00.000-04:00I saw that show at the gym once. They did a viewer...I saw that show at the gym once. They did a viewer poll where players would text message in their choice among 6 numbered suitcases, where a random one contained a prize of some nature. What was interesting to me was that the distribution of votes was a bell curve: almost everyone picked 3 or 4, some people picked 2 or 5, and almost no one picked 1 or 6.<BR/><BR/>Were players trying to minimize the distance between their guess and the correct answer? What psychological forces were at work?<BR/><BR/>People are interesting creatures.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13441809988487585009noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8797460.post-1144223849777905842006-04-05T03:57:00.000-04:002006-04-05T03:57:00.000-04:00I've watched that show. No social value whatsoever...I've watched that show. No social value whatsoever.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13441809988487585009noreply@blogger.com